Wednesday, March 8, 2017

Gulf of Maine Warming - Credits and Notes

Credits and Notes

Introduction Picture 
"This is the Gulf of Maine", "Here's Boston" draw arrow


=== Credit for Picture ===== By The original uploader was Canadaolympic989 at 
English Wikipedia [GFDL (http://www.gnu.org/
copyleft/fdl.html) or CC-BY-SA-3.0 (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/3.0/)], via Wikimedia Commons
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"Warming waters a major factor in Gulf of Maine cod collapse" by NOAA Research 
http://research.noaa.gov/News/NewsArchive/LatestNews/TabId/684/ArtMID/1768/ArticleID/11410/Warming-waters-a-major-factor-in-Gulf-of-Maine-cod-collapse.aspx



I wanted to do my own curve fitting. I took numbers off the graph manually. I put them in an Excel spread sheet.

Here is my linear trend line.

Now I tried a polynomial. I think it looks closer to the data.

For 1980 to 2010, it looks like 0.017C(0.03F) per year or 0.17C(0.3F) per 10 years.

For 2007 to 2013, it looks like 0.25C (.45F) per year, 2.5C (4.5F) per 10 years. That makes one of the fastest warming seas on earth.

The interesting issue, is that the rate seems the rate of increase has changed by 2.5C/.17C or a factor of 15. So that means the temperature is now rising 15 times faster that it has for 30 years.

It does not seem like much but it is the fastest warming part of the ocean. These small temperature changes are enough to cause fish to move farther north.

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Additional reference not used in videoStudy Finds Gulf of Maine Warming Faster Than Thought
http://www.nrcm.org/news/study-finds-gulf-of-maine-warming-faster-than-thought/

conducted by National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration 


Vincent Saba, a NOAA Fisheries scientist and lead author of the study. The Gulf of Maine is temperature is rising faster than 99.9 percent other oceans.






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